It would be nice to see the Leaf here by 2018 but I am not holding my breath.
I told the Renault guy ( minding a Zoe at the French car day):that I would probably get a Leaf if they delayed the Zoe until 2020 as he was suggesting. His response was that Nissan got burnt last time ( remembering that it's the Renault/Nissan/Mitsubishi alliance). He implied that there could be similar delays with the Nissan.
We have now seen an article claiming the Zoe will arrive here soon via an alternative business model. It seems like a lot of rumours and heresay so I am becoming more cautious. It may be that the Zoe will not be available to private motorists for example.
I am keen to go electric because....well I'm a huge nerd basically...but I am keen to get the right car and definitely want to avoid being stuck with the wrong one.
At this point the potential options in 2018 are interesting but this is how I see it, assuming all options are available.
2018 Leaf - likely to be $50k like the original Leaf. It may not have active battery management, which I would be very wary of. Nissan support is an unknown and I would be reliant on home charging. The car seems to be a heavy revision of the current one, meaning that it would still have a big partition when the back seats are down, making long loads awkward. I have long stuff like a bike, a sailboard etc. Likely to be a more substantial car which is appealing
Zoe might be $42k with battery, or a lease only option. It's a small and simple car, which has appeal at the right price, and it mayhaveabetter range than a Leaf. I get the impression that Renault being more niche may support a niche product better than Nissan. It's hatchback is industry standard in practicality but it is smaller. A simpler car may be better for longevity.
Tesla model 3 would be about $50k in a poverty pack. While not available until probably 2019ish it's perceived value and it's level of support is in another league. No hatch but folding seats and a boot may still be practical.
At this point in time I think waiting for a Model 3 makes most sense. A second hand S in AU is gonna still be very exlensive and for me $50k is already a " one off" sort of purchase. My plan is to get a car that will last 20 Years plus, like my last one.
It's odd to cross shop three very different cars but the electric drive train is the leveling factor.
Finally, I briefly visited a few car yards last week. What really struck me was all the " monster trucks". Are EV cars even relevant in this market?We are a nation of redneck bogan tradie wannabes judging by the floor stock.